Weather is not Evidence of Climate Change, Unless it is

Much ado is being made about "climate change deniers" using the recent "Snowpocalypse" [god that's an awful term] as some sort of evidence to contradict the current climate change theory orthodoxy.  All the climate scientists, comedians, and AGW celebrities have come out of the woodwork to mock these arguments.  They say "weather is not climate.  We can have blizzards and cold weather and it is not evidence against global warming."

Fair enough, I say.   But there are two things that need to be said about this:

1. Yuk it up, Jon Stewart, but the advancers of climate change theory, be they scientists, celebrities or journalists, use this kind of argument in support of AGW theory all the time.  Every time there's a drought or a hurricane or any weather event that is slightly different than usual, we hear that it is evidence of climate change or at the very least, consistent with climate change.  Apparently comments on whether weather is meaningful evidence of anything depends on your point of view.

2.  If weather cannot be used as evidence, ever, except only over a historical period (decades?  centuries?), then there is literally nothing that could happen to our climate in the short term that would be evidence against climate change theory.  We could have 20 years of cooling, and scientists could say it is because of unexplained water vapor variations or unexpected solar minima, but it wouldn't contradict the general thinking on the upward trend, which is based on a historical record of supposedly reliable global temperature data.

As a result, global warming (as a trend) is not falsifiable by any sort of scientific experimentation.  But that doesn't mean there is no debate worth having.  There are still plenty of issues worth talking about: (1) the role of other substances (water vapor) in causing and perhaps preventing further warming; (2) the cost-benefit calculus concerning the value of carbon capture or geoengineering versus fossil fuel restrictions; (3) questions of "tipping point" science which indicates the existence of thresholds marking the irreversibilty of changes; and (4) what the actual results of warming will be, including whether there should be an assumption that all changes are inherently negative.

What the "global warming alarmists" have to understand is "humans are causing global warming" is not the end of the conversation, it's only the beginning.  If they refuse to understand this, then they are just as willfully ignorant as the "global warming deniers."